First Nor’easter of the year

Now we are in nor’easter season, still not out of hurricane season, but these are worse. Heavy sustained winds will and already are moving sand and pushing waves into the coast. Beaches are eroding. Everyone here this summer was treated to those conditions minus the cold and rain. Remember when the north easterly wind and waves carved the beach back and left four foot ledges? It is just like that only it can last for a few days to a week, that is the main issue with noreasters, duration combined with strength.

We have a coastal flood advisory, coastal flood watch, gale force winds, small craft advisories, sustained winds, and a huge swell (big waves). Typical nor’easter conditions. The question is how long will it sit here, and how much flooding. That is the only real issue with nor’easters, constant wind pushing water. Otherwise it is just big storm with wind and rain, lots of rain that we need. The full moon tides are not going to help, each high tide cycle will be worse than the last for the inland bays. So far this one looks to lay down by Sunday.

first noreaster 2019, delaware, sussex county, bethany beach
Bethany Beach 8:30 AM Wednesday Oct 9th.

What are we really looking at because there is the hype and then there is reality. The European model was talking twenty five foot swells, which turn into big waves. So far that isn’t too far off. The one issue with this nor’easter is the full moon tides. The moon isn’t full until Monday but it will create lunar tides as it approaches full.

We haven’t seen an actual low tide in over a week. Coastal flooding will definitely be an issue for the inland bay communities as well as beach erosion. Water is pusheind into the inland bays and doesn’t drain during the low tide. The water “stacks” during each high tide cycle flooding the low lying areas each cycle.

first noreaster 2019, delaware, sussex county, bethany beach
Rehoboth Beach 8:30 AM Wednesday Oct 9th.

Inland bay flooding during any nor’easter these days floods coastal highway (route 1) in Delaware Seashore State Park and of course south Bethany Beach. With early morning high tides this week, that can be an issue for people trying to get to work and out of their community. Have you never had the pleasure of walking to your vehicle through two feet of bay water so you can get to your car to go to work. Good times! One of the reasons I moved a little further inland, flooding gets old after a while and expensive. It is like a really wet snow day, really wet.

high tide, steep beaches, carved beaches, ocean city maryland, steep beach drop off, rehoboth beach, bethany beach, delaware seashore state park , lewes, dewey
During the summer of 2019, the sand ledge or cliff carved by waves at 3Rs … Mike DiTomasso

During high tide this morning the water hit the dune lines in Rehoboth and other beach towns. Expect the point and naval crossing areas to flood first in Cape Henlopen State Park. Conquest and 3Rs in Delaware Seashore State Park will flood in the lower areas. I don’t imagine the northside beach recently rebuilt will survive long either. Better to have a beach in place to erode than not, instead of removing even more sand in front of the Charles W Cullen Bridge. Ocean City floods when you spit in the street, no surprise it will flood as well.

The other issue with nor’easters is duration. The longer it sits on top of us the more it “grinds” up the coast line. That can create dune breaches along the coast and flood the highway further at high tide. These breaches just go to show why dunes are so important. The last time was Conquest, Fenwick, and then Dewey beach. Water pushes into the dunes until the dune erodes away and then the water flows beyond the dunes. Gordons pond and the Point have a breach area that always fills in with water. The point breach just pools in the bigger dunes creating a lake of ocean water. Gordons Pond beach, Water will push all the way to Gordons Pond and into the Lewes canal.

Expected Conditions …
Coastal Flooding … yes
Heavy wind … yes
BIG waves .. yes and a surfers delight, ya’ll are crazy by the way
Beach erosion … yes

Route 1 flooding … possibly
Parks closing drive on beaches .. possibly

Storm conditions Lay down .. Sunday “ish” Weather changes every 15 minutes around here and could push into the week.
Saturday will be sunny with some sick surf conditions. Drive on entrances will fill with sand, be careful crossing these, they are soft and you can sink.

Fish On!
Rich King

Indian River Inlet Tides

2019/10/09Wed12:10 AM0.64L
2019/10/09Wed06:21 AM2.55H
2019/10/09Wed12:06 PM0.63L
2019/10/09Wed6:51 PM3.01H
2019/10/10Thu12:52 AM0.57L
2019/10/10Thu07:06 AM2.67H
2019/10/10Thu12:52 PM0.54L
2019/10/10Thu7:30 PM3.01H
2019/10/11Fri01:28 AM0.51L
2019/10/11Fri07:45 AM2.79H
2019/10/11Fri1:34 PM0.46L
2019/10/11Fri8:06 PM3.01H
2019/10/12Sat02:00 AM0.46L
2019/10/12Sat08:22 AM2.91H
2019/10/12Sat2:12 PM0.41L
2019/10/12Sat8:39 PM2.98H
2019/10/13Sun02:29 AM0.42L
2019/10/13Sun08:57 AM3.02H
2019/10/13Sun2:49 PM0.40L
2019/10/13Sun9:12 PM2.94H
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Marine Forecast ….. SYNOPSIS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE AND FOR DELAWARE BAY…

An area of low pressure will continue to strengthen as it remains
anchored offshore of the Mid Atlantic region through the end of the
week. A cold front is expected to move across the area later
Saturday or early Sunday, pushing the low away from the coast.
Another area of low pressure may develop along this front just
to our south and move offshore late Sunday into Monday. Another
low pressure may move north of the area Tuesday, bringing a cold
front across the area later Tuesday.

Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
633 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT…

.TODAY…N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 7 to
10 ft. Swell mainly from the NE with a dominant period of
9 seconds. A chance of showers.
.TONIGHT…N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 8 to
11 ft. Swell mainly from the NE with a dominant period of
10 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening.


.THU…N winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt, increasing to
40 kt late. Seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft early in the
morning. Swell mainly from the NE with a dominant period of
12 seconds.


.THU NIGHT…N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
8 to 11 ft. Swell mainly from the NE with a dominant period of
12 seconds. A chance of rain.
.FRI…N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 7 to
10 ft. A chance of rain.


.FRI NIGHT…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas
7 to 10 ft. A chance of rain in the evening.
.SAT…N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to
5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…N winds around 5 kt, becoming NW after midnight.
Seas 4 to 6 ft.


.SUN…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT…N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
633 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft. A chance of showers.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft. A chance of showers early in the evening.
.THU…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 3 to
5 ft.
.THU NIGHT…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain.
.FRI…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
5 ft. A chance of rain.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A chance of
rain in the evening.
.SAT…N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to
5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft in the morning, then
2 ft or less.
.SAT NIGHT…NE winds around 5 kt, becoming NW after midnight.
Waves around 3 ft.
.SUN…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing
to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 3 ft in the morning,
then 2 ft or less.
.SUN NIGHT…N winds around 5 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.

Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
633 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT…

.TODAY…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
3 ft. A chance of showers.
.TONIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
around 3 ft. A chance of showers early in the evening.
.THU…N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Gusts
up to 30 kt. Waves around 3 ft early in the morning, then 2 ft or
less, then around 3 ft late.
.THU NIGHT…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
3 to 4 ft. A chance of rain.
.FRI…N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around
3 ft. A chance of rain in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
2 ft or less.
.SAT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning.
Waves 2 ft or less.
.SAT NIGHT…S winds around 5 kt, becoming NW after midnight.
Waves 2 ft or less.
.SUN…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
.SUN NIGHT…NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.

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